In 1972, John Gottman gave a young couple 15 minutes in a room equipped with cameras and physiological sensors. He watched them argue about money. The argument itself was unremarkable — the kind of disagreement that plays out in kitchens and living rooms every day across the world. But as Gottman and his collaborator Robert Levenson analyzed the recordings, they found something extraordinary: the patterns were consistent. The way the partners held their faces, the microexpressions that flashed across their features, the precise sequence of claim and counter-claim, the moments when one or the other went physiologically rigid — these patterns recurred with enough regularity across enough couples that Gottman would eventually claim something almost outrageously confident for a social scientist: he could predict whether a couple would divorce with approximately 90 percent accuracy from a 15-minute conflict discussion.
That claim has been disputed, replicated, refined, and mythologized in roughly equal measure over the half-century since. But the core finding — that there are identifiable behavioral signatures of relationship distress that predict dissolution, and that they are measurable from observation — has held up across multiple independent studies and methods. What Gottman's research did was transform the psychology of relationships from a domain of folk wisdom and therapeutic intuition into something resembling a predictive science.
Understanding why relationships fail requires moving between several levels of analysis: the behavioral patterns that Gottman's cameras captured, the attachment systems that Bowlby and his successors described, the commitment architecture that Rusbult mapped in her Investment Model, and the fundamental question of what partners actually need from each other in order for a relationship to flourish over time.
"In a good relationship, people very often feel very positive about even the irritating things about their partner." — John Gottman, The Seven Principles for Making Marriage Work (1999)
Key Definitions
The Four Horsemen: Gottman's term for four communication patterns that predict relationship dissolution — criticism, contempt, defensiveness, and stonewalling.
Contempt: The expression of moral superiority and disgust toward a partner, conveyed through insults, eye-rolling, sneering, and mockery. The single strongest behavioral predictor of divorce in Gottman's research.
Physiological flooding: A state of physiological arousal (heart rate above approximately 100 bpm) during conflict in which capacity for complex social-emotional processing collapses, producing reactive rather than thoughtful responses.
Attachment style: A pattern of regulating attachment needs and responding to intimacy and separation, derived from early caregiving experiences. Three primary adult patterns: secure, anxious, and avoidant.
Investment Model: Rusbult's framework proposing that relationship commitment is determined by satisfaction, investment size, and quality of alternatives.
Partner responsiveness: The degree to which a partner is perceived to understand, validate, and care about one's experience. The most consistently supported predictor of relationship quality in empirical research.
Bids for connection: Gottman's term for everyday small reaching-out moments — the micro-invitations to emotional contact that partners either turn toward, turn away from, or turn against.
Positive sentiment override: The tendency of satisfied couples to interpret ambiguous acts charitably; distressed couples interpret the same acts negatively.
The Love Lab and the Science of Conflict
John Gottman began his collaboration with Robert Levenson at Indiana University in the early 1970s and continued it for decades at the University of Washington, where his Relationship Research Institute came to be known informally as the "Love Lab." The methodological core of their work was unusual for psychology at the time: rather than relying on self-report questionnaires, they brought couples into a laboratory setting and observed them in real time, coding facial expressions, speech patterns, body posture, and physiological indicators including heart rate, skin conductance, and blood velocity.
The observational coding system they developed — the Specific Affect Coding System (SPAFF) — categorized discrete affective expressions during conflict, including contempt, disgust, belligerence, domineering behavior, defensiveness, stonewalling, humor, affection, and interest. Trained coders could reliably identify these expressions and quantify their frequency and sequence.
The longitudinal design was crucial. Gottman and Levenson recruited couples, observed them during conflict discussions in the lab, and then followed them for years to see what happened. Their 1992 paper demonstrated that interaction patterns coded during laboratory conflict discussions predicted divorce status many years later. The predictive power came not from any single variable but from the pattern — particularly the presence and sequencing of the Four Horsemen.
The finding that prediction was possible at all challenged a dominant clinical assumption: that relationships are too complex, too context-dependent, and too subject to change to permit reliable behavioral prediction. Gottman's data suggested otherwise.
The Four Horsemen
Gottman's Four Horsemen are not simply four bad communication habits. They represent a progressively more destructive gradient of relational damage, from the manageable (criticism) to the most corrosive (contempt and stonewalling).
Criticism involves attacking a partner's character or personality rather than making a specific complaint about a behavior. The distinction is precise: a complaint targets a specific act ("You forgot to call, and that hurt me"), while criticism targets the person ("You're always so inconsiderate — you never think about anyone but yourself"). Criticism is widespread in distressed relationships but is not, on its own, lethal — it becomes dangerous in combination with the other horsemen.
Contempt is qualitatively different from the other three. Where criticism attacks character, contempt attacks worth. It communicates not simply that the partner has done something wrong but that they are beneath regard — stupid, inferior, disgusting, unworthy. It is expressed through insults, name-calling, eye-rolling, sneering, and dismissive mockery. Gottman found contempt to be the single most powerful predictor of relationship dissolution in his longitudinal data, and the most difficult of the four patterns to reverse once established. The mechanism may be partly immunological: he found that couples in contemptuous relationships had significantly higher rates of infectious illness over time, suggesting that chronic contempt-mediated stress has measurable biological effects.
Defensiveness functions as a barrier to repair. When one partner makes a complaint or bid for change, the defensive partner responds with counter-complaints, denials of responsibility, or victim posturing. The cumulative message is that the complaining partner's concerns will never be heard or addressed, which drives the escalation toward hopelessness.
Stonewalling is the withdrawal of engagement — the blank face, the monosyllabic responses, the turned back. Gottman found it more common in men and linked it directly to physiological flooding: when autonomic arousal during conflict exceeds a threshold of approximately 100 beats per minute, people lose access to the neural circuits that support nuanced social-emotional processing. They cannot think clearly under these conditions. Stonewalling is not, therefore, simply a choice to be cruel — it is often a dysregulated response to intolerable physiological activation. The treatment implication is significant: structured breaks of at least 20 minutes, allowing physiological de-escalation before returning to the conversation, are more effective than simply urging people to stay engaged when flooded.
What the Predictive Studies Actually Found
Multiple validation studies have examined the accuracy of Gottman's prediction claims, and the findings require some nuance.
Buehlman, Gottman, and Katz's 1992 study examined couples' oral histories — the way they narrated their shared story together — and found that affective dimensions of these narratives (fondness, contempt, expansiveness vs. disappointment) predicted dissolution over three years with substantial accuracy. Carrere and Gottman's 1999 study showed that patterns coded from just three minutes of newlywed conflict discussion predicted divorce over the subsequent six years. Kim Buehlman and colleagues analyzed both content and affect in relationship narratives and found that negativity toward the partner and glorifying the relationship's past both contributed independently to prediction.
The "90% accuracy" figure that circulates in popular accounts is a simplification of findings across multiple studies using different measurement windows and outcome periods. The accuracy rates in individual studies vary considerably, and the predictions concern group-level probabilities rather than individual certainties. What the body of research does robustly support is that the Four Horsemen are valid predictors of distress and dissolution, that contempt is the most powerful among them, and that physiological arousal during conflict is a mediating mechanism.
Attachment Theory in Adult Relationships
Bowlby's attachment theory was originally a theory of infant development: the child's bond with a primary caregiver creates an "internal working model" of relationships — a template for whether others can be trusted and depended upon. Cindy Hazan and Philip Shaver's 1987 paper made the leap to adult romantic relationships, proposing that the same attachment behavioral system that regulates infants' proximity-seeking activates in adults under conditions of threat, illness, and separation.
Their initial typology distinguished three adult attachment patterns:
| Style | Core Feature | Relationship Behavior |
|---|---|---|
| Secure | Comfortable with intimacy and interdependence | Trusting, responsive, able to both give and receive support |
| Anxious | Preoccupied with relationship, fear of abandonment | Seeks excessive reassurance, amplifies distress, hypervigilant to rejection cues |
| Avoidant | Discomfort with closeness, preference for self-reliance | Minimizes attachment needs, withdraws under emotional demand, values independence |
Chris Fraley's 2002 meta-analysis examined the continuity of attachment patterns from infancy through adulthood and found moderate stability, with significant contextual variation. Attachment patterns predict relationship satisfaction, commitment, and conflict behavior across a large number of studies.
The most clinically significant finding concerns the anxious-avoidant pairing. When an anxiously attached person partners with an avoidant partner, their characteristic behavioral strategies reinforce each other in a self-escalating spiral. The anxious partner's distress and bids for closeness activate the avoidant partner's defense system, which responds by withdrawing. The withdrawal amplifies the anxious partner's alarm, intensifying pursuit. The intensified pursuit amplifies avoidance. This demand-withdrawal cycle is one of the most reliably documented patterns in the couples literature, and one of the most difficult to interrupt.
Importantly, attachment is not destiny. "Earned security" — the development of secure functioning through a reliably responsive relationship — is documented in longitudinal research. Effective couples therapy specifically targets attachment-level dynamics, helping anxious partners develop distress tolerance and avoidant partners develop capacity for emotional presence.
Why People Stay: The Investment Model
One of the most practically important insights from relationship science is that relationship satisfaction is not the primary driver of relationship stability. Caryl Rusbult's Investment Model, developed through a series of studies in the early 1980s, proposed a three-factor model of commitment:
Commitment = Satisfaction + Investment Size − Quality of Alternatives
Satisfaction is the obvious component — how rewarding and fulfilling the relationship feels. But investment size — the cumulative resources put into the relationship (time, emotional energy, shared friends and family networks, children, property, identity as a couple) — and quality of alternatives (the perceived attractiveness of options outside the relationship) are equally important determinants.
The model's most counterintuitive prediction is that people can remain highly committed to relationships they find deeply unsatisfying if they have invested heavily and perceive their alternatives as poor. Brian Le and Christopher Agnew's 2003 meta-analysis across 52 studies found extraordinary support for this prediction: the investment model components together explained an enormous proportion of variance in commitment, and commitment in turn predicted staying behavior with high reliability.
The model reframes the question "Why does she stay?" about a person in an abusive relationship. The answer is not primarily psychological pathology but rational response to constrained choice: years of accumulated shared life constitute massive investment, the abuser's systematic isolation tactics have eliminated alternatives (both social and financial), and escape carries genuine risks. The investment model does not excuse abuse; it explains the decision calculus that traps people within it, and has informed practical interventions that address the structural barriers to leaving rather than simply urging people to leave.
Positive Sentiment Override and the 5:1 Ratio
One of Gottman's most influential findings concerns the role of accumulated positive affect in buffering couples against conflict damage. In stable, satisfying relationships, he found that the ratio of positive to negative interactions during conflict and in everyday life was approximately 5:1: for every critical remark, dismissal, or expression of irritation, there were roughly five instances of affection, humor, genuine interest, appreciation, or warmth.
This ratio does not mean that conflict is absent in successful relationships. Gottman distinguished three types of stable couples — validating (process-focused, emotionally supportive communication), volatile (passionate, emotionally expressive, high-energy arguments but also high warmth), and conflict-avoiding (minimize direct confrontation, emphasize positive aspects) — and found all three could be stable as long as the positive-to-negative ratio stayed above approximately 5:1. What distinguished stable from dissolving couples was not the presence or absence of conflict but whether positive connection sufficiently outweighed negative interaction in the overall texture of the relationship.
The mechanism involves what Gottman calls "positive sentiment override": in satisfied couples, this accumulated bank of positive feeling causes partners to interpret ambiguous acts charitably ("he was probably just tired"). In distressed couples, "negative sentiment override" causes the same acts to be interpreted maliciously ("he's always doing this to undermine me"). The interpretation determines the response, and the responses accumulate over time.
Note: The related "Losada ratio" — a specific mathematical claim that teams need a 2.9013 positive-to-negative interaction ratio to flourish — has been substantially discredited. Fredrickson and Losada's 2005 paper was partially retracted in 2013 after Nick Brown and colleagues demonstrated that the mathematical modeling was invalid. Gottman's 5:1 ratio, by contrast, is based on direct behavioral observation and longitudinal outcome data, not mathematical modeling.
Partner Responsiveness: What Actually Predicts Success
Eli Finkel and colleagues' sweeping 2015 review, titled "The Suffocation of Marriage," synthesized decades of relationship science and identified partner responsiveness as the most robust predictor of relationship quality across studies and methods. Partner responsiveness — the experience of feeling genuinely understood, validated, and cared for by one's partner — is distinct from mere agreement or approval. It requires that a partner demonstrates actual understanding of what you are experiencing, communicates that your experience is valid, and shows that your wellbeing matters to them.
Harry Reis and Phillip Shaver's 1988 intimacy model proposed the causal sequence: self-disclosure leads to partner responsiveness, which produces felt intimacy. The quality of responsiveness matters: a partner who listens but demonstrates no genuine understanding, or who understands but fails to communicate care, provides an incomplete response that does not generate intimacy.
Gottman's concept of "bids for connection" operationalizes this in everyday relationship behavior. A bid is any reaching-out moment — a question, a comment about something noticed, a touch, a piece of news shared, a moment of vulnerability. Partners can turn toward the bid (engage with it), turn away from it (ignore it or give a minimal response), or turn against it (respond dismissively or critically). Gottman's longitudinal data found that couples who stayed together turned toward each other's bids approximately 86% of the time; couples who divorced turned toward about 33% of bids. The cumulative effect of consistently missed bids is the gradual erosion of emotional connection that makes conflicts increasingly dangerous and increasingly irrecoverable.
Couples Therapy: Evidence and Limits
The evidence on couples therapy is meaningfully more encouraging than on individual therapy for personality disorders. Emotionally Focused Therapy (EFT), developed by Sue Johnson and Les Greenberg, directly targets attachment-level dynamics and has the most robust evidence base: meta-analyses have found clinically significant improvement in approximately 70-73% of couples, with gains that tend to be maintained at follow-up. The Gottman Method targets the Four Horsemen behaviorally, builds emotional friendship and positive connection, and teaches physiological self-soothing during flooding.
Andrew Christensen's Integrative Behavioral Couples Therapy adds an acceptance component — helping partners accept each other's enduring differences rather than insisting on change — and has shown evidence of better long-term outcomes than purely change-focused approaches.
However, several factors reliably predict poor outcomes regardless of treatment modality: waiting too long to seek help (the average couple waits six years after serious problems emerge before seeking therapy, by which time contempt and stonewalling are often entrenched); active contempt as a chronic communication pattern; individual-level pathology that is not concurrently addressed; and domestic violence, which requires specialized protocols rather than standard couples therapy.
See also: Attachment Theory Explained, What Causes Anxiety
References
- Gottman, J. M., & Levenson, R. W. (1992). Marital processes predictive of later dissolution: Behavior, physiology, and health. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 63(2), 221–233. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.63.2.221
- Hazan, C., & Shaver, P. (1987). Romantic love conceptualized as an attachment process. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 52(3), 511–524. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.52.3.511
- Rusbult, C. E. (1983). A longitudinal test of the investment model: The development (and deterioration) of satisfaction and commitment in heterosexual involvements. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 45(1), 101–117. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.45.1.101
- Le, B., & Agnew, C. R. (2003). Commitment and its theorized determinants: A meta-analysis of the investment model. Personal Relationships, 10(1), 37–57. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6811.00035
- Amato, P. R., & Previti, D. (2003). People's reasons for divorcing: Gender, social class, the life course, and adjustment. Journal of Family Issues, 24(5), 602–626. https://doi.org/10.1177/0192513X03254231
- Finkel, E. J., Cheung, E. O., Emery, L. F., Carswell, K. L., & Larson, G. M. (2015). The suffocation of marriage: Climbing Mount Maslow without enough oxygen. Psychological Inquiry, 25(1), 1–41. https://doi.org/10.1080/1047840X.2014.966154
- Fraley, R. C. (2002). Attachment stability from infancy to adulthood: Meta-analysis and dynamic modeling of developmental mechanisms. Personality and Social Psychology Review, 6(2), 123–151. https://doi.org/10.1207/S15327957PSPR0602_03
- Buehlman, K. T., Gottman, J. M., & Katz, L. F. (1992). How a couple views their past predicts their future: Predicting divorce from an oral history interview. Journal of Family Psychology, 5(3–4), 295–318. https://doi.org/10.1037/0893-3200.5.3-4.295
Frequently Asked Questions
Why do most romantic relationships fail?
Research across multiple methodologies converges on several key causes of relationship failure. John Gottman's observational studies at the University of Washington identified four negative communication patterns — which he called the Four Horsemen — as particularly predictive of dissolution: criticism, contempt, defensiveness, and stonewalling. Of these, contempt (expressing moral superiority and disgust toward a partner) is the single strongest predictor of eventual breakdown. Beyond communication patterns, Paul Amato and Denise Previti's 2003 longitudinal survey study of divorced adults found the most commonly cited reasons were communication problems, growing apart, infidelity, and financial stress — findings that align with Gottman's emphasis on failure to maintain emotional connection over time. Attachment theory, extended to adult relationships by Hazan and Shaver in 1987, suggests that relationships fail when partners' attachment systems are chronically mismatched or dysregulated — particularly the anxious-avoidant pairing, in which one partner's bids for closeness activate the other's withdrawal, creating an escalating pursuit-distance cycle. Eli Finkel and colleagues' 2015 comprehensive review argues that modern marriages have become 'suffocated' by unrealistic expectations: we now ask our partners to fulfill needs for self-actualization and personal growth that previous generations sought through community, religion, and extended family, and this concentration of need on a single relationship makes failure more likely when those needs go unmet. The evidence suggests that most romantic relationships fail not from a single catastrophic event but from accumulated erosion — small failures to turn toward each other, growing contempt, and diminishing positive interaction.
What are Gottman's Four Horsemen of relationship failure?
John Gottman identified four communication patterns that reliably predict relationship dissolution, which he named the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse. The first is criticism: attacking a partner's character rather than making a specific complaint about a behavior. Where a complaint says 'I felt hurt when you forgot our dinner reservation,' criticism says 'You are so selfish and inconsiderate.' The second is contempt: communicating from a position of moral superiority and disgust, expressed through insults, eye-rolling, sneering, mockery, and dismissiveness. Gottman identified contempt as the single best predictor of divorce and as qualitatively more damaging than the other three. Contempt signals that a partner is not just flawed but beneath consideration. The third horseman is defensiveness: responding to complaints with counter-complaints, playing the victim, or refusing to acknowledge any responsibility. Defensiveness escalates conflict because it signals that the complaining partner's concern will not be heard. The fourth is stonewalling: emotional withdrawal and shutdown during conflict — refusing to engage, giving one-word answers, turning away. Gottman found that stonewalling was more common in men, and linked it to physiological flooding: when heart rate exceeds approximately 100 beats per minute, the capacity for complex social-emotional processing collapses, and partners respond reactively rather than thoughtfully. Gottman also identified antidotes to each horseman: gentle startup instead of criticism, building a culture of appreciation and admiration instead of contempt, taking responsibility instead of defensiveness, and physiological self-soothing with a structured break instead of stonewalling.
How does attachment style affect romantic relationships?
Attachment theory, originally developed by John Bowlby to describe infant-caregiver bonds, was extended to adult romantic relationships by Cindy Hazan and Philip Shaver in their landmark 1987 paper. They proposed that the same three patterns Ainsworth had identified in infants — secure, anxious, and avoidant — appear in adult romantic attachments, with roughly similar population distributions. Securely attached adults are comfortable with intimacy and interdependence, do not excessively fear abandonment, and are able to rely on partners and allow partners to rely on them. Anxiously attached adults are preoccupied with their relationships and fear abandonment; they tend to amplify attachment needs, seeking excessive reassurance and becoming distressed when partners are unavailable. Avoidantly attached adults are uncomfortable with closeness and emotional dependence, prefer self-reliance, and tend to downregulate or suppress attachment needs. Chris Fraley's 2002 meta-analysis found that attachment patterns show moderate continuity across the lifespan and predict relationship satisfaction, commitment, and conflict styles. The combination that produces the most chronic instability is the anxious-avoidant pairing: the anxious partner's bids for closeness trigger the avoidant partner's disengagement, which intensifies the anxious partner's pursuit, which intensifies avoidance — a self-reinforcing cycle that gradually erodes the relationship. Attachment insecurity does not doom a relationship — earned security through consistent positive relationship experiences can shift attachment patterns — but it creates predictable vulnerabilities that partners need to understand and actively address.
What is the investment model and why do people stay in bad relationships?
Caryl Rusbult's Investment Model, developed in 1980 and 1983, proposes that commitment to a relationship is determined by three factors: satisfaction (how rewarding the relationship feels overall), investment size (the accumulated resources put into the relationship — time, emotional energy, shared networks, material goods, children), and quality of alternatives (how attractive options outside the relationship appear). Commitment in turn predicts whether people stay or leave. The model's most practically important insight is that satisfaction is only one component of commitment, and not always the most powerful one. People stay in deeply unsatisfying relationships when they have invested heavily and have poor alternatives — and leave satisfying relationships when the alternatives are sufficiently attractive. Brian Le and Christopher Agnew's 2003 meta-analysis across 52 studies found extraordinary empirical support for the model: the three components explained enormous variance in commitment (combined r values as high as 0.87 for satisfaction, 0.67 for staying behavior), and the model held across gender, relationship type, and culture. The model has been applied to understanding why people remain in abusive relationships — not because they enjoy the abuse or are psychologically damaged in some essential way, but because years of shared life, children, economic dependence, and the decimation of outside social connections through the abuser's isolation tactics combine to create high investment and low alternatives. This reframes staying not as pathology but as a rational response to a constrained choice architecture — a reframing with significant clinical and policy implications.
What does the research show actually predicts relationship success?
Eli Finkel and colleagues' comprehensive 2015 review for the Association for Psychological Science identified partner responsiveness as the most robust and replicable predictor of relationship quality across studies. Partner responsiveness refers to feeling that your partner genuinely understands you, validates your experience, and cares about your wellbeing. Harry Reis and Phillip Shaver's 1988 intimacy model proposed that intimacy develops through a specific sequence: self-disclosure leads to partner responsiveness, which produces a felt sense of intimacy and closeness. The quality of responsiveness — whether it is genuine, consistent, and incorporates understanding rather than merely sympathy — matters more than its frequency. Gottman's longitudinal data emphasizes the accumulation of small positive interactions: what he calls 'bids for emotional connection' — everyday reaching-out moments, small acts of turning toward rather than away. Couples who consistently turn toward these bids build an emotional bank account that provides resilience during conflicts; couples who chronically miss or dismiss bids see the account drain until any conflict becomes destabilizing. The ratio of positive to negative interactions in stable, satisfying relationships is approximately 5:1 in Gottman's observational data — not that conflict is absent, but that positive connection significantly outweighs negative interaction in the overall texture of the relationship. Research on perceived partner responsiveness, emotional attunement, and the willingness to repair after conflict consistently outperforms demographic variables, shared interests, and even initial compatibility in predicting long-term relationship health.
Is contempt really the best predictor of divorce?
Multiple studies from Gottman's lab have replicated the finding that contempt — expressed through insults, eye-rolling, sneering, mockery, and dismissiveness — is the single behavioral predictor most strongly associated with eventual relationship dissolution, and this finding has held up across different methods and samples. The 1992 study by Gottman and Levenson tracked couples longitudinally and found that patterns coded during a laboratory conflict discussion predicted dissolution years later; contempt was consistently the most powerful of the Four Horsemen in those predictions. Carrere and Gottman's 1999 paper refined the methodology, showing that contempt and other negative behaviors coded from just three minutes of conflict discussion in newlyweds predicted divorce over the following six years. Buehlman, Gottman, and Katz's 1992 oral history study found that the way couples narrated their shared history — with or without contempt and fondness — predicted dissolution with remarkable accuracy. The mechanism is both psychological and physiological: contempt signals that a partner is fundamentally beneath regard, which triggers a stress response that persists even outside the immediate interaction. Gottman found that partners in contemptuous relationships had higher rates of infectious illness, suggesting that chronic contempt-mediated stress suppresses immune function. The reason contempt is more damaging than criticism or even anger is that it does not merely register a complaint or express frustration — it communicates a global negative evaluation of the partner as a person, one that undermines any possibility of repair.
Can a failing relationship be saved, and what does the research say about couples therapy?
The evidence on couples therapy is more encouraging than on individual therapy for personality pathology, though realistic expectations remain important. Behaviorally oriented couples therapies — particularly Emotionally Focused Therapy (EFT), developed by Sue Johnson, and the Gottman Method — have the strongest evidence bases. A meta-analysis by Johnson and colleagues found that approximately 70-73% of couples showed clinically significant improvement after EFT, with gains largely maintained at follow-up. The Gottman Method, derived directly from the observational research, targets the Four Horsemen directly, works on strengthening the friendship and emotional connection that undergirds the relationship, and teaches physiological self-soothing. Research by Christensen and colleagues on Integrative Behavioral Couples Therapy found that acceptance-based approaches — helping partners to accept each other's differences rather than trying to change them — produced better outcomes than change-focused approaches alone. However, several factors consistently predict poor outcomes in couples therapy: waiting too long to seek help (the average couple waits six years after serious problems emerge before seeking therapy), presence of active contempt, stonewalling as a chronic pattern, and individual-level pathology (particularly antisocial traits or active substance dependence) that is not concurrently addressed. The research also suggests that some relationships that appear 'saveable' are better ended — particularly when abuse is present — and that a good therapist helps couples make that determination clearly rather than pursuing reconciliation as the default goal.