Dual Process Theory and the Architecture of Human Judgment
Dual Process Theory explains human judgment through two systems: fast, automatic System 1 and slow, deliberate System 2.
February 2025
December 2023
When Your Gut Is Right (and When It Will Wreck You)
Kahneman and Klein agreed on two conditions that make intuition trustworthy. Miss either one and your gut is lying to you.
What Is Behavioral Economics? How Psychology Overturned the
Behavioral economics combines psychology and economics to explain how people actually make decisions. This explainer covers prospect theory, loss aversion, nudge theory, cognitive biases, and why the rational actor model was wrong.
Reference Class Forecasting: How to Make Predictions That Are Actually Accurate
Reference class forecasting ignores your specific plan and uses historical outcomes of similar projects to predict what will actually happen.
November 2022
What Is Behavioral Economics? How Psychology Overturned the Rational Actor
Behavioral economics combines psychology and economics to explain how people actually make decisions.