February 2025
December 2023
- Dec 13, 2023ConceptsWhen Your Gut Is Right (and When It Will Wreck You)Kahneman and Klein agreed on two conditions that make intuition trustworthy. Miss either one and your gut is lying to you.
- Dec 3, 2023ConceptsWhat Is Behavioral Economics? How Psychology Overturned the Rational ActorBehavioral economics combines psychology and economics to explain how people actually make decisions. This explainer covers prospect theory, loss aversion, nudge theory, cognitive biases, and why the rational actor model was wrong.
- Dec 1, 2023ConceptsAccurate Predictions Using Reference Class ForecastingReference class forecasting ignores your specific plan and uses historical outcomes of similar projects to predict what will actually happen.
November 2022
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