March 2026
- Mar 8, 2026ConceptsCommon Decision Traps and How to Avoid ThemPronin, Lin and Ross showed in 2002 that people spot biases readily in others and hardly at all in themselves, and that knowing you are susceptible does not predict actually resisting it. That finding is the whole argument for process over vigilance, since vigilance is exactly what fails under pressure. Covers confirmation bias, sunk cost, anchoring, availability, groupthink and status quo bias, how they compound, and the structural countermeasures that work.
- Mar 3, 2026ConceptsCognitive Biases Defined SimplyBiases explained as the predictable price of heuristics, grouped into six families from memory and belief formation to attribution. Stanovich's work indicates intelligence does not track bias avoidance and can make rationalization easier. The original anchoring experiment shows the mechanism plainly: participants who spun a rigged wheel landing on 10 estimated a median 25 percent of African countries were in the UN, while those who spun 65 said 45 percent.
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