How to Run a Premortem
A 90-minute premortem surfaces risks your team would never raise in a normal meeting. Here is the step-by-step method teams use to prevent costly failures.
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A 90-minute premortem surfaces risks your team would never raise in a normal meeting. Here is the step-by-step method teams use to prevent costly failures.
Map what's rewarded with bonuses and recognition. Identify what's punished with penalties and criticism. Compare stated versus actual incentives.
Identify key components. Map relationships showing how parts connect. Test predictions against reality. Refine based on failures.
Root cause analysis: define problem precisely, gather data and timeline, use Five Whys technique, identify contributing factors, then test and verify.
List criteria for good decisions. Weight importance of each factor. Score options against criteria. Document rationale for future reference.
Keep simple with three to five key metrics. Make actionable so measurement drives improvement. Align with goals avoiding distortion.
Measure current state. Define desired state. Create comparator showing gap between them. Design response actions closing gaps.
Assess accuracy by verifying facts and cross-checking claims. Check source credibility and expertise. Identify potential biases in presentation.
Set stage for learning, gather data on what happened, generate insights through discussion, decide actions, close with commitments and appreciation.
Map complex systems: Identify key components, draw connections showing flows and dependencies, mark causal links, find feedback loops, test predictions.